The Coronavirus outbreak should be taken for what it is, an outbreak that deserves our attention and precautionary measures, but not panic.


  • Most important: stay safe, exercise the precautions being given by your government, maintain social distancing, help your neighbors, pray, etc.
  • Don’t panic or panic buy
  • Avoid any news source or person who uses words like “apocalyptic”
  • The information in this page will focus mainly on comparisons to the United States

A web search similar to “[your country] coronavirus trajectory” will reveal news articles and charts that make it seem the world is coming to an end. Here is an example chart used by many news outlets showing total number of infections and deaths, over time, since day zero (100 total infections).

Raw data source:

Along with a chart like this, the headline and article will use a words like “apocalyptic” and phrases like “X is going to get all of us killed”.

Let’s look at a chart showing the same data, but displayed as a percentage of infections and deaths, as opposed to total infections and deaths, in those countries.

Raw data source:

Another interesting view of the data is number of new cases per day (as a percentage of population).


  • 2020-03-23: death rate charts posted
  • 2020-03-26: Corrected a computation error in the China data
  • 2020-04-06: Added the “new cases per day” chart
  • Daily chart updates: 2020-03-23 – 2020-04-13
  • Chart updates every 3 days: 2020-04-13 – 2020-05-01
  • Last update, 01 May 2020, the day Texas reopened. This page will no longer be updated unless there is a significant change.

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Categories: Blog