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2020-03-22

Coronavirus

The Coronavirus outbreak should be taken for what it is, an outbreak that deserves our attention and precautionary measures, but not panic.

Notes:

  • Most important: stay safe, exercise the precautions being given by your government, maintain social distancing, help your neighbors, pray, etc.
  • Don’t panic or panic buy
  • Avoid any news source or person who uses words like “apocalyptic”
  • The information in this page will focus mainly on comparisons to the United States

A web search similar to “[your country] coronavirus trajectory” will reveal news articles and charts that make it seem the world is coming to an end. Here is an example chart used by many news outlets showing total number of infections and deaths, over time, since day zero (100 total infections).0481216202428323640444852566020000020000040000040000060000060000080000080000010000001000000ChinaChinaItalyItalyTurkeyTurkeyUKUKUSAUSASpainSpainSouth KoreaSouth KoreaDay N since 100 total infectionsTotal infections

Day-NChinaItalyTurkeyUKUSASpainSouth Korea
02161329811510311480
1235229191163125151155
2386322359206159200345
3526400670273233261601
4623650947321338374762
58828881,236373433430892
61,3231,1281,5294565545891,146
71,9881,6891,8725907541,2041,595
82,7751,8352,4337071,0251,6392,022
94,5282,5023,6291,1401,3122,1402,931
105,9943,0895,6981,3911,6633,0043,526
117,7343,8587,4021,5432,1744,2314,212
129,7144,6369,2171,9502,9515,7534,812
1311,8095,88310,8272,6303,7747,7535,328
1414,3997,37513,5313,2774,6619,1915,766
1517,2119,17215,6793,9836,42711,1786,284
1620,44810,14918,1355,0189,41513,7166,767
1724,32012,46220,9215,68314,25017,1477,134
1828,04715,11323,9346,65019,62419,9807,382
1931,20717,66027,0698,07726,74724,9267,513
2034,62517,75030,2179,52935,20628,5727,755
2137,23223,98034,10911,65846,44233,0897,869
2240,20627,98038,22614,54355,23139,6737,979
2342,69631,50642,28217,08969,19447,6108,086
2444,72435,71347,02919,52285,99156,1888,162
2559,86541,03552,16722,141104,68664,0598,236
2664,02147,02156,95625,150124,66572,2488,320
2766,55953,57861,04929,474143,02578,7978,413
2868,56659,13865,11133,718164,62085,1958,565
2970,61863,93669,39238,168189,61894,4178,652
3072,50869,18574,19341,903216,721102,1368,799
3174,25874,39578,54647,806245,540110,2388,897
3274,65280,54882,32951,608277,965117,7108,961
3375,54386,50786,30655,242312,237124,7369,037
3476,36992,48190,98060,733337,635130,7599,137
3577,01697,69895,59165,077368,196135,0329,241
3677,234101,74898,67470,272398,809140,5109,332
3777,749105,801101,79078,991432,132146,6909,478
3878,159110,583104,91284,279466,033152,4469,583
3978,598115,251107,77388,621501,560157,0229,661
4078,927119,836110,13093,873529,951161,8529,786
4179,355124,641112,26198,476557,571166,0199,881
4279,929128,957114,653103,093582,594169,49610,071
4380,134132,556117,589108,692609,516177,46410,157
4480,261135,595120,204114,217639,664181,50410,251
4580,380139,431120,067671,331185,90410,332
4680,497143,635124,743702,164190,00810,379
4780,667147,586129,044735,086192,73010,426
4880,768152,280133,495759,687195,31510,479
4980,814156,372138,078787,752198,66710,518
5080,859159,525143,464825,041201,29410,557
5180,879162,497148,377842,629204,34610,584
5280,908165,164152,840869,172207,11310,646
5380,932168,950157,149890,524210,05710,671
5480,954172,443161,145939,053211,78610,698
5580,973175,934165,221965,910213,61710,725
5680,995178,981171,253988,451214,92510,747
5781,020181,2371,012,583217,06910,769
5881,063183,9661,039,909217,58710,787
5981,086187,3361,069,82610,795
6081,130189,98210,808
6181,229193,00310,817
6281,28110,828

Chart by Visualizer


04812162024283236404448525660100001000020000200003000030000400004000050000500006000060000ChinaChinaItalyItalyTurkeyTurkeyUKUKUSAUSASpainSpainSouth KoreaSouth KoreaDay N since 100 total infectionsTotal deaths

Day-NChinaItalyTurkeyUKUSASpainSouth Korea
01001400
11411701
24942912
31510931035
415152151257
52419306158
6392737619511
754334410242812
879505910263513
9104787521284716
101301059235388417
11168146108554512122
12211195131605513628
132572311681036728832
143023642141448330935
1535946227717710649142
1642462935623314859844
1749082542528114876750
185621,0145013352581,00251
196351,2665744223381,32654
207211,4396494634691,72060
218101,8097255785882,18266
229072,1568127597992,69667
231,0152,5039081,0191,0483,43472
241,1122,9761,0061,2281,2944,08975
251,3663,4051,1011,4081,7054,85875
261,3794,0301,1981,7892,1895,69081
271,5224,8251,2962,5322,5076,52886
281,6645,4741,4032,9213,1687,34091
291,7696,0751,5183,6054,0778,189100
301,8676,8181,6434,3135,1369,053103
312,0067,5031,7694,9346,05110,003104
322,1188,1631,8905,3737,15510,935113
332,2369,1342,0176,1598,49911,744120
342,34510,0212,1407,0979,64512,418126
352,44310,7792,2597,97810,98713,055131
362,59311,5892,3768,95812,89313,798139
372,66312,4282,4919,87514,81514,555144
382,71513,1552,60010,61216,68815,238152
392,74413,9152,70611,32918,77515,843158
402,78814,6792,80512,10720,60616,353163
412,83515,3602,90012,86822,10616,972168
422,87015,8872,99213,72923,64717,489174
432,91216,5233,08114,57626,05518,276179
442,94417,1273,17415,46430,98318,893182
452,98117,66716,06033,28219,478188
463,01218,27916,50937,05220,043191
473,04218,84917,33738,90820,453197
483,07019,46818,10040,68020,852205
493,09719,89918,73842,53721,282209
503,12020,46319,74345,06121,717213
513,13721,06720,58646,78222,157217
523,15921,64521,00649,96122,524223
533,17022,17021,34451,01522,902226
543,17722,74522,25353,18723,190231
553,19223,22523,04854,87423,191234
563,20123,65823,72256,24323,192238
573,21424,11258,35323,645239
583,22324,64660,96423,913241
593,23925,08363,004243
603,24725,547245
613,25125,967246
623,257247

Chart by Visualizer

Raw data source: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide

Along with a chart like this, the headline and article will use a words like “apocalyptic” and phrases like “X is going to get all of us killed”.

Let’s look at a chart showing the same data, but displayed as a percentage of infections and deaths, as opposed to total infections and deaths, in those countries.04812162024283236404448525660.10%.10%.20%.20%.30%.30%.40%.40%ChinaChinaItalyItalyTurkeyTurkeyUKUKUSAUSASpainSpainSouth KoreaSouth KoreaDay N since 100 total infections% of population – infected

Day-NChinaItalyTurkeyUKUSASpainSouth Korea
00000000
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
80000000
90000000
100000000
110000000
120000000
130000000
140000000
150000000
160000000
170000000
180000000
19000000.0010
20000000.0010
21000000.0010
22000000.0010
2300.0010.001000.0010
2400.0010.001000.0010
2500.0010.001000.0010
2600.0010.001000.0020
2700.0010.001000.0020
2800.0010.0010.0010.0010.0020
2900.0010.0010.0010.0010.0020
3000.0010.0010.0010.0010.0020
3100.0010.0010.0010.0010.0020
3200.0010.0010.0010.0010.0030
3300.0010.0010.0010.0010.0030
3400.0020.0010.0010.0010.0030
3500.0020.0010.0010.0010.0030
3600.0020.0010.0010.0010.0030
3700.0020.0010.0010.0010.0030
3800.0020.0010.0010.0010.0030
3900.0020.0010.0010.0020.0030
4000.0020.0010.0010.0020.0030
4100.0020.0010.0010.0020.0040
4200.0020.0010.0020.0020.0040
4300.0020.0010.0020.0020.0040
4400.0020.0010.0020.0020.0040
4500.0020.0020.0020.0040
4600.0020.0020.0020.0040
4700.0020.0020.0020.0040
4800.0030.0020.0020.0040
4900.0030.0020.0020.0040
5000.0030.0020.0030.0040
5100.0030.0020.0030.0040
5200.0030.0020.0030.0040
5300.0030.0020.0030.0050
5400.0030.0020.0030.0050
5500.0030.0020.0030.0050
5600.0030.0030.0030.0050
5700.0030.0030.0050
5800.0030.0030.0050
5900.0030.0030
6000.0030
6100.0030
6200

Chart by Visualizer


04812162024283236404448525660.0100%.0100%.0200%.0200%.0300%.0300%.0400%.0400%.0500%.0500%ChinaChinaItalyItalyTurkeyTurkeyUKUKUSAUSASpainSpainSouth KoreaSouth KoreaDay N since 100 total infections% of population – deaths

Day-NChinaItalyTurkeyUKUSASpainSouth Korea
00000000
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
80000000
90000000
100000000
110000000
120000000
130000000
140000000
150000000
160000000
170000000
180000000
190000000
200000000
210000000
220000000
230000000
240000000
250000000
260000000
270000000
280000000
290000000
300000000
310000000
320000000
330000000
340000000
350000000
360000000
370000000
380000000
390000000
400000000
410000000
420000000
430000000
440000000
45000000
46000000
47000000
48000000
49000000
50000000
51000000
52000000
53000000
54000000
55000000
56000000
570000.0010
580000.0010
590000
60000
61000
6200

Chart by Visualizer

Raw data source: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide

Another interesting view of the data is number of new cases per day (as a percentage of population).04812162024283236404448525660.0025%.0025%.0050%.0050%.0075%.0075%.0100%.0100%.0125%.0125%.0150%.0150%.0175%.0175%ChinaChinaItalyItalyTurkeyTurkeyUKUKUSAUSASpainSpainSouth KoreaSouth KoreaDay N since 100 total infections% of population – newly infected

Day-NChinaItalyTurkeyUKUSASpainSouth Korea
00000000
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
80000000
90000000
100000000
110000000
120000000
130000000
140000000
150000000
160000000
170000000
180000000
190000000
200000000
210000000
220000000
230000000
240000000
250000000
260000000
270000000
280000000
290000000
300000000
310000000
320000000
330000000
340000000
350000000
360000000
370000000
380000000
390000000
400000000
410000000
420000000
430000000
440000000
45000000
46000000
47000000
48000000
49000000
50000000
51000000
52000000
53000000
54000000
55000000
56000000
5700000
5800000
590000
60000
61000
6200
6300

Chart by Visualizer

Updates:

  • 2020-03-23: death rate charts posted
  • 2020-03-26: Corrected a computation error in the China data
  • 2020-04-06: Added the “new cases per day” chart
  • Daily chart updates: 2020-03-23 – 2020-04-13
  • Chart updates every 3 days: 2020-04-13 – 2020-05-01
  • Last update, 01 May 2020, the day Texas reopened. This page will no longer be updated unless there is a significant change.

If you are looking for a reliable and experienced offensive security service that provides Rock Solid Security, look no further than PEN Consultants for all your information and cybersecurity testing needs. Contact us: https://penconsultants.com/contact-us/

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